The impact of wages on the migration of the population of the Karaganda region

Abstract

Object: To determine the impact of the average monthly wage on the migration of the population of the Karaganda region and build a model. Methods: A comparative approach, methods of absolute and relative differences, correlation and regression analysis, and Microsoft Excel. Results: It is found that there is a strong positive relationship between the average monthly wage and the migration of the population of the Karaganda region, as evidenced by the coefficients of pair correlation (0.94) and determination (0.88). Conclusions: It is revealed that in the Karaganda region a negative balance of migration of the population remains, in the external migration of the population there is a steady outflow of the Russian and German population to their historical homelands, in the internal migration of the population there is high intensity. The average monthly salary in the Karaganda region from 2016 to 2020 increased by 62.1%, but for the analyzed period it is lower than the republican level. Compared to other regions in the Karaganda region, the average monthly salary from 2016 to 2019 was lower than in the Atyrau, West Kazakhstan, Mangistau regions, Nur-Sultan, Almaty cities and higher than in other regions. In 2020, the region was in 5th place in terms of the average monthly wage in Kazakhstan, yielding to Atyrau, Mangistau regions and the cities of Nur-Sultan, Almaty. The results of the correlation-regression analysis show that the average monthly wage has a positive and significant effect on the volume of migration in the Karaganda region.